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Championship

Referee: J Brooks

Preston

S U U U U

1–1

Full-time

Stoke

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

30%

56%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 12. · Stoke 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Coventry	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Bournemouth	9	6	3	0	+9	21
4	Fulham	9	5	2	2	+11	17
5	Stoke	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Blackburn	9	4	4	1	+7	16
7	Reading	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Sheffield United	10	4	3	3	+5	15
9	Huddersfield	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Bristol City	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Luton	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Preston	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	QPR	9	3	3	3	+3	12
14	Cardiff	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Birmingham	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Blackpool	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Swansea	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Derby	10	2	4	4	-3	10
19	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
20	Millwall	9	1	6	2	-2	9
21	Barnsley	9	1	5	3	-4	8
22	Peterboro	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Peterborough	9	2	1	6	-10	7
24	Hull	9	1	2	6	-9	5
25	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Reading	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Stoke	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Sheffield United	6	3	1	2	+7	10
7	Blackburn	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Preston	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Luton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Fulham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Peterboro	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Peterborough	4	2	1	1	+3	7
13	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Derby	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Swansea	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Blackpool	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
18	Millwall	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
20	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-3	5
21	Cardiff	4	1	1	2	+0	4
22	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Bristol City	5	0	4	1	-1	4
24	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-5	1
25	Hull	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Cardiff	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Blackburn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Blackpool	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Luton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Sheffield United	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Swansea	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Millwall	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Derby	6	1	1	4	-4	4
20	Preston	5	0	3	2	-2	3
21	Barnsley	5	0	3	2	-4	3
22	Reading	4	1	0	3	-5	3
23	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.