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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Karlsruhe
T T U T U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
47%
74%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 14. · Greuther Furth 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 19 12 6 1 +18 42
2 Hamburg 19 13 1 5 +14 40
3 Heidenheim 19 10 6 3 +13 36
4 Kaiserslautern 19 9 8 2 +9 35
5 Paderborn 19 10 2 7 +17 32
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 9 2 8 +4 29
7 Hannover 19 8 4 7 +3 28
8 Holstein Kiel 19 7 7 5 +2 28
9 St Pauli 19 5 8 6 +1 23
10 Greuther Furth 19 5 8 6 -4 23
11 Braunschweig 19 5 6 8 -8 21
12 Hansa Rostock 19 6 3 10 -10 21
13 Bielefeld 19 6 2 11 -4 20
14 Karlsruhe 19 5 4 10 -5 19
15 Sandhausen 19 5 4 10 -11 19
16 Nurnberg 19 5 4 10 -11 19
17 Regensburg 19 5 4 10 -14 19
18 Magdeburg 19 5 3 11 -14 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Greuther Furth
Stephan Ambrosius 🟨
21′
21′
T. Breithaupt 1–0
own goal
Stephan Ambrosius 🟨
24′
Stephan Ambrosius 🟥
24′
C. Kobald 🔁
↦ T. Breithaupt
30′
33′
🟨 Tobias Raschl
Fabian Schleusener ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
2–0 M. Wanitzek
36′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 S. Asta
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
55′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ T. Raschl
70′
🟨 Damian Michalski
3–0 M. Kaufmann
F. Schleusener
73′
77′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ D. Michalski
77′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ M. John
M. Batmaz 🔁
↦ M. Kaufmann
79′
86′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ O. Haddadi
Malik Batmaz 🟨
87′
S. Rapp 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
89′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ Choi Kyoung-Rok
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
11 Choi Kyoung-Rok M
38 T. Breithaupt M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
14 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
22 C. Kobald
9 M. Batmaz
7 S. Rapp
21 M. Thiede
17 L. Cueto
1 K. Eisele
6 L. Jensen
19 B. Zivzivadze
26 P. Nebel

Coach: C. Eichner

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
1 A. Linde G
4 D. Michalski D
23 G. Jung D
5 O. Haddadi D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
22 S. Griesbeck M
20 T. Raschl M
24 M. John M
37 J. Green F
10 B. Hrgota F
11 D. Abiama F
Bench (9)
2 S. Asta
30 A. Sieb
39 R. Ache
16 L. Petkov
9 Afimico Pululu
25 L. Schaffran
6 S. Raebiger
33 M. Dietz
27 L. Itter

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,36
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.