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Serie B

Referee: L Marinelli

Genoa

T S S U T

2–0

Full-time

Palermo

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

48%

39%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

30%

39%

Both score Ø 41%

39%

43%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 2. · Palermo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	23	16	3	4	+23	51
2	Genoa	23	11	7	5	+7	40
3	Reggina	23	12	3	8	+12	39
4	Sudtirol	23	10	8	5	+1	38
5	Bari	23	9	9	5	+13	36
6	Palermo	23	9	7	7	+0	34
7	Parma	23	9	6	8	+4	33
8	Ternana	23	9	6	8	-3	33
9	Cagliari	23	8	8	7	+1	32
10	Pisa	23	7	10	6	+8	31
11	Modena	23	9	4	10	+2	31
12	Cittadella	23	6	9	8	-7	27
13	Ascoli	23	6	8	9	-4	26
14	Perugia	23	7	5	11	-4	26
15	Como	23	6	8	9	-8	26
16	Brescia	23	6	7	10	-14	25
17	Spal	23	5	9	9	-3	24
18	Venezia	23	6	6	11	-6	24
19	Benevento	23	5	8	10	-6	23
20	Cosenza	23	5	7	11	-16	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Cagliari	12	7	3	2	+5	24
3	Parma	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Palermo	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Ternana	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Reggina	11	6	2	3	+10	20
7	Modena	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Genoa	11	4	6	1	+4	18
9	Sudtirol	12	4	6	2	+1	18
10	Pisa	11	5	2	4	+7	17
11	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Como	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Brescia	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Perugia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	Bari	11	3	5	3	+6	14
16	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-2	14
17	Spal	12	3	3	6	+0	12
18	Ascoli	11	2	4	5	-4	10
19	Venezia	12	2	3	7	-7	9
20	Benevento	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	7	1	4	+8	22
2	Bari	12	6	4	2	+7	22
3	Genoa	12	7	1	4	+3	22
4	Sudtirol	11	6	2	3	+0	20
5	Reggina	12	6	1	5	+2	19
6	Ascoli	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Venezia	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Pisa	12	2	8	2	+1	14
9	Benevento	11	3	5	3	+1	14
10	Palermo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
11	Modena	12	4	1	7	-5	13
12	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Spal	11	2	6	3	-3	12
14	Ternana	12	3	3	6	-7	12
15	Parma	11	2	5	4	-3	11
16	Perugia	12	3	2	7	-4	11
17	Como	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Brescia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Cagliari	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.