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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Paderborn
T S T S U
5–1
Full-time
Braunschweig
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
48%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
69%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 0
4 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Braunschweig 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 29 18 7 4 +21 61
2 Heidenheim 29 16 9 4 +28 57
3 Hamburg 29 17 5 7 +20 56
4 Paderborn 29 14 5 10 +20 47
5 St Pauli 29 13 8 8 +11 47
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 14 5 10 +10 47
7 Kaiserslautern 29 11 11 7 +6 44
8 Holstein Kiel 29 10 10 9 -1 40
9 Karlsruhe 29 11 6 12 +2 39
10 Hannover 29 10 7 12 -4 37
11 Greuther Furth 29 9 9 11 -4 36
12 Magdeburg 29 10 5 14 -11 35
13 Nurnberg 29 9 6 14 -15 33
14 Braunschweig 29 8 8 13 -12 32
15 Bielefeld 29 8 5 16 -8 29
16 Regensburg 29 7 7 15 -17 28
17 Hansa Rostock 29 8 4 17 -21 28
18 Sandhausen 29 6 7 16 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Braunschweig
1–0 J. Justvan
R. Obermair
28′
40′
🟨 Jannis Nikolaou
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Obermair
46′
46′
🔁 I. Pherai
↦ N. De Medina
46′
🔁 L. Lauberbach
↦ M. Wintzheimer
3–0 S. Conteh
F. Muslija
51′
53′
A. Ujah 3–1
A. Donkor
Ron Schallenberg 🟨
54′
Tobias Müller 🟨
56′
59′
🟨 Robin Krausse
63′
🔁 B. Henning
↦ R. Krauße
64′
🟨 Hassan Kurucay
N. Nadj 🔁
↦ S. Conteh
66′
K. Klefisch 🔁
↦ M. Rohr
67′
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ R. Leipertz
76′
M. Pieringer 🔁
↦ F. Muslija
77′
81′
🔁 E. Peña Zauner
↦ F. Kaufmann
81′
🔁 K. Endo
↦ H. Kuruçay
U. Hünemeier 🔁
↦ T. Müller
86′
4–1 D. Srbeny
M. Pieringer
90′
92′
🟨 Brian Behrendt
5–1 D. Srbeny
J. Justvan
94′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-3
21 J. Huth G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
15 T. Müller D
3 B. Humphreys D
10 J. Justvan M
8 R. Schallenberg M
31 M. Rohr M
23 R. Obermair M
11 S. Conteh F
13 R. Leipertz F
30 F. Muslija F
Bench (9)
40 N. Nadj
27 K. Klefisch
18 D. Srbeny
9 M. Pieringer
2 U. Hünemeier
28 J. Carls
16 P. Boevink
6 M. Schuster
7 R. Tachie

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Braunschweig

4-2-3-1
1 R. Hoffmann G
15 N. De Medina D
30 B. Behrendt D
29 H. Kuruçay D
19 A. Donkor D
39 R. Krauße M
4 J. Nikolaou M
37 F. Kaufmann M
9 M. Wintzheimer M
7 M. Multhaup M
14 A. Ujah F
Bench (9)
10 I. Pherai
20 L. Lauberbach
6 B. Henning
22 E. Peña Zauner
21 K. Endo
26 J. Marx
3 S. Decarli
16 J. Fejzić
27 N. Kijewski

Coach: M. Schiele

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
4,00
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.