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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

Darmstadt

U T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 56%

62%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

38%

65%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

15 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 1. · Paderborn 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	26	16	7	3	+20	55
2	Hamburg	27	16	5	6	+21	53
3	Heidenheim	27	14	9	4	+22	51
4	St Pauli	27	13	8	6	+13	47
5	Paderborn	26	13	4	9	+18	43
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	13	4	9	+11	43
7	Kaiserslautern	27	10	10	7	+4	40
8	Karlsruhe	27	10	6	11	+1	36
9	Holstein Kiel	26	8	10	8	+0	34
10	Hannover	27	9	7	11	-3	34
11	Magdeburg	26	9	4	13	-11	31
12	Greuther Furth	26	7	9	10	-5	30
13	Nurnberg	27	8	6	13	-16	30
14	Braunschweig	27	7	8	12	-12	29
15	Bielefeld	26	8	4	14	-4	28
16	Regensburg	26	7	5	14	-16	26
17	Hansa Rostock	26	7	4	15	-19	25
18	Sandhausen	26	5	6	15	-24	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	14	10	3	1	+21	33
2	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+16	29
3	Darmstadt	13	8	5	0	+14	29
4	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+13	29
5	Paderborn	13	9	0	4	+19	27
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+14	27
7	Greuther Furth	13	6	6	1	+6	24
8	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Kaiserslautern	13	5	6	2	+3	21
10	Karlsruhe	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+2	21
12	Nurnberg	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	-6	17
14	Holstein Kiel	13	4	4	5	+2	16
15	Bielefeld	13	5	1	7	+1	16
16	Magdeburg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-12	12
18	Hansa Rostock	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	2	3	+6	26
2	Hamburg	13	7	3	3	+5	24
3	Kaiserslautern	14	5	4	5	+1	19
4	Heidenheim	13	4	6	3	+1	18
5	St Pauli	14	5	3	6	+0	18
6	Holstein Kiel	13	4	6	3	-2	18
7	Paderborn	13	4	4	5	-1	16
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	5	1	7	-3	16
9	Magdeburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Hansa Rostock	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Hannover	14	3	4	7	-7	13
13	Bielefeld	13	3	3	7	-5	12
14	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
15	Regensburg	13	3	0	10	-10	9
16	Sandhausen	14	2	3	9	-12	9
17	Braunschweig	13	1	5	7	-14	8
18	Greuther Furth	13	1	3	9	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.