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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Paderborn

T U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 46%

41%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

75%

59%

Both score Ø 64%

72%

56%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 8. · Hamburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	32	20	4	8	+25	64
2	St Pauli	32	18	9	5	+23	63
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	17	8	7	+31	59
4	Hamburg	32	16	7	9	+18	55
5	Karlsruhe	32	14	10	8	+18	52
6	Hannover	32	12	13	7	+15	49
7	Greuther Furth	32	13	7	12	-1	46
8	Paderborn	32	13	7	12	-2	46
9	Hertha	32	12	9	11	+9	45
10	Elversberg	32	12	7	13	-8	43
11	Schalke 04	32	11	7	14	-6	40
12	Magdeburg	32	9	10	13	-7	37
13	Nurnberg	32	10	7	15	-21	37
14	Kaiserslautern	32	10	6	16	-8	36
15	Braunschweig	32	10	5	17	-12	35
16	Wehen	32	8	8	16	-12	32
17	Hansa Rostock	32	9	4	19	-25	31
18	Osnabruck	32	5	10	17	-37	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Hamburg	16	11	0	5	+14	33
3	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
4	Greuther Furth	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Hannover	16	8	6	2	+16	30
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	3	4	+10	30
7	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+9	28
8	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
9	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
10	Magdeburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
11	Kaiserslautern	16	7	2	7	+0	23
12	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+0	22
13	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Elversberg	16	6	4	6	-2	22
15	Hansa Rostock	16	6	2	8	-6	20
16	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-9	19
17	Wehen	16	4	5	7	-6	17
18	Osnabruck	16	3	5	8	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	-2	24
5	Hamburg	16	5	7	4	+4	22
6	Elversberg	16	6	3	7	-6	21
7	Karlsruhe	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
9	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Nurnberg	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
12	Greuther Furth	16	4	3	9	-12	15
13	Magdeburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Kaiserslautern	16	3	4	9	-8	13
15	Braunschweig	16	4	1	11	-11	13
16	Schalke 04	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
18	Osnabruck	16	2	5	9	-23	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.