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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Lausanne
U U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Basel
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
53%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,16 xG 1,28
57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 10. · Basel 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 34 20 8 6 +37 +4.0 68
2 Servette 34 17 9 8 +16 +27.9 60
3 Lugano 34 18 5 11 +16 +12.6 59
4 St. Gallen 34 15 8 11 +10 +15.2 53
5 Winterthur 34 13 10 11 -2 -7.1 49
6 Zurich 34 12 12 10 +7 +0.3 48
7 Luzern 34 12 9 13 -5 +1.7 45
8 Yverdon 34 12 7 15 -19 -18.6 43
9 Basel 34 11 8 15 -10 -4.5 41
10 Lausanne 34 10 10 14 -7 +0.6 40
11 Grasshoppers 34 9 6 19 -9 -11.1 33
12 Lausanne Ouchy 34 5 8 21 -34 -21.1 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Basel
Olivier Custodio 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Antoine Bernede 🟨
52′
58′
🟨 Kevin Rüegg
58′
🔁 J. Gauto
↦ K. Rüegg
59′
🔁 G. Sigua
↦ T. Xhaka
59′
🔁 D. Kacuri
↦ L. Avdullahu
63′
🟨 Dion Kacuri
K. Sène 🔁
↦ R. Ilie
69′
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
76′
76′
🔁 B. Kololli
↦ A. Kade
J. Roche 🔁
↦ S. Pafundi
77′
C. Kablan 🔁
↦ B. Labeau
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-1-4-1
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
6 N. Dussenne D
12 G. Szalai D
18 M. Poaty D
10 O. Custodio M
19 R. Ilie M
30 S. Pafundi M
24 A. Bernede M
11 F. Diabaté M
96 B. Labeau F
Bench (9)
9 K. Sène
22 S. Kalu
8 J. Roche
20 C. Kablan
21 R. Spiegel
13 H. Loucif
7 S. Kukuruzović
37 M. Nanizayamo
5 B. Dabanlı

Coach: L. Magnin

Basel

3-4-1-2
1 M. Hitz G
26 A. Barišić D
32 J. Adjetey D
25 F. van Breemen D
27 K. Rüegg M
34 T. Xhaka M
37 L. Avdullahu M
31 D. Schmid M
20 F. Frei F
30 A. Kade F
9 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
33 J. Gauto
21 G. Sigua
28 D. Kacuri
7 B. Kololli
4 Arnau Comas
3 N. Vouilloz
13 M. Salvi
23 A. Ajeti
6 M. Dräger

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.