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2. Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Hamburg

S T S U U

1–2

Full-time

Paderborn

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

53%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Paderborn 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	15	8	7	0	+16	31
2	Holstein Kiel	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Hamburg	15	8	4	3	+10	28
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+16	27
5	Greuther Furth	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Hannover	16	6	6	4	+10	24
7	Elversberg	15	7	3	5	-1	24
8	Hertha	15	6	3	6	+6	21
9	Wehen	16	6	3	7	-3	21
10	Paderborn	15	6	3	6	-4	21
11	Nurnberg	15	6	3	6	-8	21
12	Magdeburg	15	5	4	6	+3	19
13	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	-1	18
14	Kaiserslautern	15	5	3	7	-6	18
15	Hansa Rostock	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Schalke 04	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Braunschweig	16	3	2	11	-16	11
18	Osnabruck	15	1	4	10	-23	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+11	16
4	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+11	15
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Hertha	7	4	1	2	+12	13
7	Kaiserslautern	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Holstein Kiel	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Schalke 04	7	4	0	3	+5	12
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Wehen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Magdeburg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	Paderborn	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
15	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Osnabruck	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+5	15
3	Elversberg	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	4	1	2	+13	13
5	Paderborn	8	3	1	4	-5	10
6	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-6	10
7	Hannover	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Wehen	8	3	0	5	-2	9
9	Magdeburg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Hertha	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Hamburg	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Kaiserslautern	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Braunschweig	8	1	0	7	-11	3
18	Osnabruck	7	0	2	5	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.