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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gansloweit
Magdeburg
S U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Hannover
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
47%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
53%
79%
Both score Ø 48%
37%
58%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 1,66
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 14. · Hannover 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 19 12 3 4 +12 +5.7 39
2 Darmstadt 19 10 7 2 +14 +6.8 37
3 Paderborn 19 11 3 5 +9 +10.5 36
4 Elversberg 19 10 5 4 +15 -2.8 35
5 Hannover 19 9 5 5 +7 +6.2 32
6 Kaiserslautern 19 9 4 6 +10 +0.6 31
7 Hertha 19 8 6 5 +5 -2.2 30
8 Karlsruhe 19 7 5 7 -6 -13.9 26
9 Nurnberg 19 7 4 8 -5 +0.3 25
10 Holstein Kiel 19 6 6 7 +0 -6.7 24
11 Bochum 19 6 5 8 +1 +3.5 23
12 Braunschweig 19 6 3 10 -12 +0.7 21
13 Bielefeld 19 5 5 9 +2 +0.1 20
14 Magdeburg 19 6 2 11 -6 +6.1 20
15 Preußen Münster 19 5 5 9 -7 -3.6 20
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 6 2 11 -12 -4.8 20
17 Dresden 19 5 4 10 -7 +0.8 19
18 Greuther Furth 19 4 4 11 -20 -7.2 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Hannover
38′
D. Yokota 0–1
B. Kallman
Half-time 0–1
J. Hugonet 🔁
↦ F. Michel
46′
46′
🔁 N. Weisshaupt
↦ D. Yokota
1–1 B. Atik
D. Stalmach
53′
56′
E. Leopold 1–2
E. Saad
58′
🟨 Virgil Ghiță
71′
🟨 Noël Aséko
71′
🔁 S. T. Thordarson
↦ N. Aseko-Nkili
71′
🔁 B. Pichler
↦ B. Kallman
73′
🟨 Maurice Neubauer
R. Ghrieb 🔁
↦ P. Hercher
73′
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ D. Stalmach
73′
80′
🔁 W. Kokolo
↦ E. Saad
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ L. Ulrich
88′
90′
🔁 W. Taibi
↦ K. Oudenne
93′
🟨 Maik Nawrocki
Barış Atik 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
19 L. Musonda D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
17 A. Nollenberger D
8 L. Ulrich M
6 D. Stalmach M
21 F. Michel M
27 P. Hercher F
22 M. Zukowski F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
24 J. Hugonet
15 D. Heber
7 H. Bockhorn
29 R. Ghrieb
25 S. Gnaka
10 N. Pesch
36 A. Millgramm
9 M. Breunig

Coach: Petrik Sander

Hannover

3-4-3
1 N. Noll G
5 V. Ghita D
3 B. Tomiak D
6 M. Nawrocki D
33 M. Neubauer M
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
8 E. Leopold M
29 K. Oudenne M
18 D. Yokota F
9 B. Kallman F
24 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
4 H. Blank
19 W. Kokolo
20 I. Okon
10 N. Weisshaupt
13 F. Roggow
23 S. T. Thordarson
26 W. Taibi
11 B. Pichler

Coach: Christian Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,53
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Gansloweit · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.