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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Hannover
S U U T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
78%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,96 xG 0,72
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hannover 6. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 18 12 2 4 +12 +5.0 38
2 Darmstadt 19 10 7 2 +14 +6.8 37
3 Elversberg 18 10 4 4 +15 -3.7 34
4 Paderborn 18 10 3 5 +8 +7.3 33
5 Kaiserslautern 18 9 3 6 +10 +1.3 30
6 Hannover 18 8 5 5 +6 +4.9 29
7 Hertha 18 8 5 5 +5 -1.9 29
8 Nurnberg 19 7 4 8 -5 +0.3 25
9 Karlsruhe 18 7 4 7 -6 -14.2 25
10 Holstein Kiel 19 6 6 7 +0 -6.7 24
11 Bochum 18 6 4 8 +1 +4.4 22
12 Bielefeld 19 5 5 9 +2 +0.1 20
13 Magdeburg 18 6 2 10 -5 +6.1 20
14 Preußen Münster 18 5 5 8 -6 -0.4 20
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 6 2 10 -11 -3.5 20
16 Braunschweig 18 6 2 10 -12 -1.0 20
17 Dresden 18 4 4 10 -8 +0.8 16
18 Greuther Furth 18 4 3 11 -20 -5.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 D. Yokota
K. Oudenne
4′
15′
🟨 Elias Egouli
26′
🟨 Satoshi Tanaka
Half-time 1–0
E. Saad 🔁
↦ M. Bundu
46′
2–0 B. Kallman
E. Saad
47′
49′
E. Egouli 2–1
C. Rasmussen
57′
🟨 Elias Egouli
57′
🟥 Elias Egouli
F. Roggow 🔁
↦ N. Aseko-Nkili
61′
64′
🔁 M. Zimmermann
↦ E. Iyoha
64′
🔁 S. Appelkamp
↦ C. Rasmussen
B. Pichler 🔁
↦ B. Kallman
68′
77′
🔁 J. Daland
↦ K. Schmidt
Maik Nawrocki 🟨
80′
Franz Roggow 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 C. Lenz
↦ S. Suso
83′
🔁 Z. Celar
↦ A. El Azzouzi
B. Allgeier 🔁
↦ D. Yokota
87′
N. Weisshaupt 🔁
↦ K. Oudenne
87′
88′
🟨 Matthias Zimmermann
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-3
1 N. Noll G
5 V. Ghita D
3 B. Tomiak D
6 M. Nawrocki D
29 K. Oudenne M
8 E. Leopold M
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
33 M. Neubauer M
18 D. Yokota F
9 B. Kallman F
7 M. Bundu F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
19 W. Kokolo
17 B. Allgeier
4 H. Blank
23 S. T. Thordarson
13 F. Roggow
10 N. Weisshaupt
24 E. Saad
11 B. Pichler

Coach: Christian Titz

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-1-4-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
15 T. Oberdorf D
44 E. Egouli D
4 K. Schmidt D
16 S. Tanaka M
19 E. Iyoha M
8 A. El Azzouzi M
46 S. Suso M
24 F. Muslija M
10 C. Rasmussen F
13 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lotka
2 J. Daland
3 C. Lenz
5 M. Heyer
25 M. Zimmermann
30 J. de Wijs
23 S. Appelkamp
7 L. Raimund
9 Z. Celar

Coach: Markus Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
3,95
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.