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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Rodez
U S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Red Star
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 39%
30%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
70%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 11. · Red Star 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 20 12 5 3 +15 41
2 Reims 20 10 5 5 +13 35
3 Le Mans 20 9 8 3 +6 35
4 St Etienne 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Dunkerque 20 9 6 5 +13 33
6 Red Star 19 9 6 4 +8 33
7 Guingamp 20 9 5 6 +2 32
8 Annecy 20 8 4 8 +5 28
9 Montpellier 20 8 4 8 +1 28
10 Pau FC 20 7 7 6 -4 28
11 Rodez 20 6 8 6 -3 26
12 Clermont 20 5 7 8 -4 22
13 Grenoble 20 5 7 8 -6 22
14 Nancy 20 6 3 11 -11 21
15 Boulogne 20 5 5 10 -10 20
16 Amiens 20 5 4 11 -8 19
17 Laval 20 3 7 10 -14 16
18 Bastia 19 3 5 11 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Red Star
1–0 I. Balde
M. Saka
28′
33′
G. Haag 1–1
Half-time 1–1
57′
🔁 S. E. Khaoui
↦ G. Trani
57′
🔁 A. Hachem
↦ D. Durand
Clément Jolibois 🟨
60′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ S. Benchamma
65′
A. Trouillet 🔁
↦ M. Saka
65′
K. Nagera 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
71′
72′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ P. M. Ba
72′
🔁 J. Ikanga
↦ D. Sylla
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
84′
H. Tebily 🔁
↦ I. Balde
87′
O. Joly 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
26 S. Benchamma M
6 J. Mendes M
28 M. Saka M
18 I. Balde F
11 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
8 W. Younoussa
22 O. Joly
27 A. Trouillet
9 K. Nagera
19 H. Tebily

Coach: Didier Santini

Red Star

5-3-2
16 G. Poussin G
22 D. Sylla D
20 D. Durivaux D
27 B. Danger D
3 M. Huard D
11 K. Cisse D
98 R. Hachem M
81 G. Haag M
25 G. Trani M
9 P. M. Ba F
7 D. Durand F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
5 J. Escartin
12 V. Kany
10 S. E. Khaoui
29 H. Benali
21 A. Hachem
23 J. Ikanga

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U ✓
3,27
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.