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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S S T U S

2–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

50%

13%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,5

1,4

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 3

18 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 6. · Valenciennes 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Le Havre	8	4	4	0	+8	16
3	Troyes	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Valenciennes	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Clermont	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Ajaccio	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Lens	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Rodez	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Sochaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Niort	8	3	3	2	+2	12
11	Chambly	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Auxerre	8	3	2	3	+3	11
13	Nancy	8	2	5	1	+1	11
14	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Grenoble	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Caen	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Orleans	8	0	4	4	-4	4
18	Le Mans	8	1	0	7	-9	3
19	Chateauroux	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Paris FC	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Rodez	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Nancy	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Lorient	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Valenciennes	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Auxerre	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Troyes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Lens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Le Havre	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Guingamp	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ajaccio	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Chambly	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Niort	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Le Mans	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Grenoble	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Chateauroux	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Orleans	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Paris FC	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Caen	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Troyes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Clermont	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Ajaccio	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Niort	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Lens	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Chambly	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Valenciennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Grenoble	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Caen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Orleans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Rodez	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Nancy	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Sochaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Paris FC	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chateauroux	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Le Mans	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.