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Ligue 2

Le Mans

T T T S T

2–4

Full-time

Ajaccio

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 18. · Ajaccio 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Le Havre	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Valenciennes	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Troyes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Rodez	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Chambly	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Auxerre	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Clermont	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Niort	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Lens	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Ajaccio	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Sochaux	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Guingamp	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Nancy	7	1	5	1	-2	8
15	Grenoble	7	1	4	2	-2	7
16	Caen	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Orleans	7	0	3	4	-4	3
18	Le Mans	7	1	0	6	-7	3
19	Paris FC	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Chateauroux	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Sochaux	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Auxerre	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lorient	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Troyes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Nancy	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Lens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Le Havre	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Guingamp	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ajaccio	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Chambly	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Niort	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Le Mans	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Grenoble	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Chateauroux	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Paris FC	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Caen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Orleans	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Chambly	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Troyes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Niort	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Valenciennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Clermont	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Ajaccio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Caen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Lens	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Orleans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Rodez	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Nancy	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Sochaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Paris FC	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chateauroux	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Le Mans	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.