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Ligue 2
Lorient
S U U T T
4–1
Full-time
Niort
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
54%
23%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
38%
23%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
1,9
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

22 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 6
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 4. · Niort 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 13 7 4 2 +7 25
2 Ajaccio 13 7 4 2 +7 25
3 Troyes 13 8 1 4 +6 25
4 Lorient 13 7 3 3 +7 24
5 Sochaux 13 6 4 3 +9 22
6 Guingamp 13 5 4 4 +6 19
7 Le Havre 13 4 7 2 +5 19
8 Grenoble 13 4 7 2 +2 19
9 Nancy 13 3 9 1 +2 18
10 Rodez 13 5 3 5 +1 18
11 Clermont 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Valenciennes 13 4 5 4 -2 17
13 Auxerre 13 4 4 5 +3 16
14 Niort 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Caen 13 3 5 5 -4 14
16 Chambly 13 3 4 6 -9 13
17 Le Mans 13 4 0 9 -10 12
18 Chateauroux 13 2 5 6 -8 11
19 Orleans 13 1 6 6 -7 9
20 Paris FC 13 2 3 8 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,08
B
7,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.