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Serie B
Crotone
S U S T T
3–1
Full-time
Ascoli
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

24 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 3. · Ascoli 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 11 7 3 1 +8 24
2 Perugia 11 5 4 2 +2 19
3 Crotone 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 Chievo 11 4 6 1 +5 18
5 Pordenone 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Salernitana 11 5 3 3 +2 18
7 Ascoli 11 5 2 4 +6 17
8 Empoli 11 4 5 2 +2 17
9 Cittadella 11 5 2 4 -2 17
10 Pescara 11 5 1 5 +4 16
11 Virtus Entella 11 4 3 4 -2 15
12 Frosinone 11 3 5 3 -1 14
13 Pisa 11 3 4 4 +0 13
14 Venezia 11 3 4 4 -1 13
15 Spezia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
16 Cremonese 11 3 3 5 -7 12
17 Cosenza 11 2 5 4 +0 11
18 Livorno 11 3 1 7 -5 10
19 Juve Stabia 11 3 1 7 -9 10
20 Trapani 11 1 3 7 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
3,94
B
6,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.