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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Nice
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
42%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 13. · Bordeaux 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 9 0 3 +19 27
2 Angers 12 6 2 4 +1 20
3 Nantes 12 6 1 5 +0 19
4 Marseille 12 5 4 3 -2 19
5 Lille 12 5 3 4 +5 18
6 Bordeaux 12 5 3 4 +3 18
7 Reims 12 5 3 4 +3 18
8 St Etienne 12 5 3 4 -3 18
9 Brest 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Lyon 12 4 4 4 +8 16
11 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Amiens 12 4 4 4 -1 16
13 Nice 12 5 1 6 -3 16
14 Rennes 11 4 3 4 +1 15
15 Monaco 12 4 3 5 -3 15
16 Dijon 12 3 3 6 -6 12
17 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 -6 12
18 Toulouse 12 3 3 6 -7 12
19 Metz 12 3 3 6 -7 12
20 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -2 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Bordeaux
Pierre Lees Melou 🟨
8′
22′
🟨 Vukašin Jovanović
1–0 P. Lees Melou
Y. Atal
27′
Half-time 1–0
P. Burner 🔁
↦ I. Ganago
46′
49′
J. Briand 1–1
Dante 🟨
56′
70′
🔁 S. Kalu
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
73′
🟨 Edson Mexer
M. Maolida 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
80′
83′
🔁 J. Maja
↦ F. Kamano
88′
🔁 Y. Aït Bennasser
↦ N. de Préville
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
29 C. Hérelle D
2 S. N'Soki D
20 Y. Atal D
25 W. Cyprien M
21 Danilo Barbosa M
8 P. Lees Melou M
10 A. Ounas F
9 K. Dolberg F
14 I. Ganago F
Bench (7)
15 P. Burner
7 M. Maolida
12 R. Coly
5 A. Tameze
23 M. Sarr
22 A. Lusamba
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: P. Vieira

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
23 L. Benito M
14 V. Jovanović D
5 Otávio M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
7 J. Briand F
12 N. de Préville F
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
11 F. Kamano M
Bench (7)
10 S. Kalu
9 J. Maja
17 Y. Aït Bennasser
29 M. Poundjé
16 G. Poussin
25 E. Kwateng
26 T. Bašić

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U ✓
3,07
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.