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Ligue 2

Lorient

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Caen

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

63%

21%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

53%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 4

8 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lorient 2. · Caen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	19	12	4	3	+15	40
2	Lorient	19	12	3	4	+15	39
3	Troyes	20	12	2	6	+5	38
4	Ajaccio	20	10	6	4	+10	36
5	Clermont	20	9	6	5	+3	33
6	Le Havre	20	8	8	4	+10	32
7	Nancy	20	6	12	2	+5	30
8	Valenciennes	20	8	6	6	+3	30
9	Sochaux	20	7	7	6	+5	28
10	Guingamp	19	7	6	6	+8	27
11	Grenoble	20	5	11	4	+0	26
12	Auxerre	20	5	8	7	+1	23
13	Chambly	20	6	5	9	-9	23
14	Rodez	20	6	3	11	-4	21
15	Caen	19	4	9	6	-4	21
16	Chateauroux	20	5	6	9	-12	21
17	Le Mans	20	6	2	12	-10	20
18	Niort	20	4	5	11	-9	17
19	Paris FC	20	4	4	12	-18	16
20	Orleans	20	2	7	11	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nancy	11	6	5	0	+9	23
2	Lens	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	Sochaux	11	5	4	2	+9	19
4	Lorient	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Valenciennes	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Troyes	10	6	0	4	+0	18
7	Rodez	10	5	1	4	+4	16
8	Ajaccio	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Clermont	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Le Havre	9	3	5	1	+7	14
11	Auxerre	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Guingamp	10	3	4	3	+4	13
13	Le Mans	11	4	1	6	-2	13
14	Grenoble	9	2	6	1	+1	12
15	Chambly	11	3	3	5	-8	12
16	Caen	10	2	5	3	-4	11
17	Niort	10	2	3	5	-3	9
18	Paris FC	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Chateauroux	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Orleans	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	10	6	2	2	+7	20
2	Ajaccio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Troyes	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Lens	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Le Havre	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Clermont	10	5	3	2	+1	18
7	Chateauroux	11	4	3	4	-4	15
8	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Grenoble	11	3	5	3	-1	14
10	Valenciennes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Chambly	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Caen	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Auxerre	10	2	3	5	-3	9
14	Sochaux	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Paris FC	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Orleans	10	1	5	4	-3	8
17	Niort	10	2	2	6	-6	8
18	Nancy	9	0	7	2	-4	7
19	Le Mans	9	2	1	6	-8	7
20	Rodez	10	1	2	7	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.