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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Caen
T U U S S
3–2
Full-time
Lorient
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -16 Caen – Lorient 1–2 23. Sep -15 Lorient – Caen 2–0

Match report

Caen Lorient
5′
⚽ B. Moukandjo 0–1
A. Waris
19′
⚽ B. Moukandjo 0–2
22′
🟨 Vincent Le Goff
26′
🟥 Zargo Touré
30′
🔁 E. Koffi
↦ W. Mesloub
1–2 R. Rodelin ⚽
32′
2–2 I. Santini ⚽
H. Bazile
43′
Half-time 2–2
V. Bessat 🔁
↦ H. Bazile
69′
S. Malbranque 🔁
↦ J. Delaplace
71′
75′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ A. Waris
Y. Karamoh 🔁
↦ R. Rodelin
77′
78′
🔁 F. Selemani
↦ B. Moukandjo
85′
🟨 Faïz Selemani
Alaeddine Yahia 🟨
86′
3–2 I. Santini ⚽
V. Bessat
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Caen

4-3-3
1 R. Vercoutre G
5 A. Yahia D
23 M. Dabo D
28 D. Da Silva D
15 E. Imorou D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
12 R. Rodelin F
26 I. Santini F
20 H. Bazile F
Bench (7)
11 V. Bessat
10 S. Malbranque
7 Y. Karamoh
2 N. Seube
40 M. Dreyer
22 P. Sané
4 I. Diomandé

Coach: P. Garande

Lorient

4-1-4-1
40 B. Lecomte G
5 Z. Touré D
25 V. Le Goff D
2 L. Rose D
24 W. Lautoa D
17 W. Mesloub M
8 Cafú M
19 R. Philippoteaux M
7 D. Ndong M
12 B. Moukandjo F
9 A. Waris F
Bench (7)
34 E. Koffi
22 B. Jeannot
11 F. Selemani
28 M. Barthelmé
23 M. Fofana
16 P. Delecroix
6 F. Bellugou

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.