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Ligue 2

Bastia

S S U U U

1–2

Full-time

Guingamp

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 28%

25%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

28%

41%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 14. · Guingamp 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	33	21	9	3	+48	72
2	Auxerre	33	17	10	6	+18	61
3	Ajaccio	32	18	7	7	+14	61
4	Paris FC	32	16	9	7	+15	57
5	Sochaux	32	16	9	7	+10	57
6	Caen	32	12	9	11	+11	45
7	Le Havre	32	11	11	10	-2	44
8	Dijon	32	12	6	14	-2	42
9	Guingamp	32	10	12	10	-4	42
10	Pau FC	33	12	6	15	-6	42
11	Amiens	32	9	14	9	+6	41
12	Niort	32	11	8	13	+0	41
13	Nimes	32	11	7	14	-6	40
14	Bastia	32	8	15	9	+2	39
15	Valenciennes	32	8	12	12	-11	36
16	Quevilly Rouen	33	8	10	15	-18	34
17	Rodez	32	7	12	13	-12	33
18	Grenoble	32	9	6	17	-17	33
19	Dunkerque	32	8	6	18	-16	30
20	Nancy	32	5	8	19	-30	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	17	12	4	1	+35	40
2	Paris FC	16	9	6	1	+14	33
3	Ajaccio	16	10	3	3	+10	33
4	Sochaux	16	9	4	3	+7	31
5	Pau FC	17	10	1	6	+6	31
6	Auxerre	16	8	4	4	+11	28
7	Amiens	17	7	6	4	+13	27
8	Dijon	16	8	2	6	+3	26
9	Caen	16	8	1	7	+10	25
10	Niort	16	7	4	5	+7	25
11	Bastia	16	4	12	0	+8	24
12	Guingamp	16	6	6	4	+2	24
13	Le Havre	17	6	5	6	-1	23
14	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-3	21
15	Dunkerque	16	5	5	6	-2	20
16	Nimes	16	5	4	7	-3	19
17	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	7	5	-4	19
18	Rodez	15	3	8	4	-2	17
19	Valenciennes	16	4	4	8	-9	16
20	Nancy	15	4	4	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	17	9	6	2	+7	33
2	Toulouse	16	9	5	2	+13	32
3	Ajaccio	16	8	4	4	+4	28
4	Sochaux	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Paris FC	16	7	3	6	+1	24
6	Le Havre	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Nimes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	Caen	16	4	8	4	+1	20
9	Valenciennes	16	4	8	4	-2	20
10	Guingamp	16	4	6	6	-6	18
11	Dijon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Niort	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Rodez	17	4	4	9	-10	16
14	Bastia	16	4	3	9	-6	15
15	Quevilly Rouen	17	4	3	10	-14	15
16	Amiens	15	2	8	5	-7	14
17	Grenoble	16	3	3	10	-14	12
18	Pau FC	16	2	5	9	-12	11
19	Dunkerque	16	3	1	12	-14	10
20	Nancy	17	1	4	12	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.