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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Angers
T S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
35%
35%
Both score Ø 31%
31%
31%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 2. · Ajaccio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 27 14 10 3 +25 52
2 Angers 26 14 4 8 +10 46
3 Laval 27 12 9 6 +5 45
4 St Etienne 27 12 6 9 +8 42
5 Caen 27 12 6 9 +4 42
6 Grenoble 27 10 10 7 +7 40
7 Rodez 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Ajaccio 26 10 8 8 +1 38
9 Amiens 27 9 11 7 -3 38
10 Pau FC 27 9 10 8 -1 37
11 Bordeaux 27 10 7 10 -3 37
12 Guingamp 27 9 9 9 +2 36
13 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
14 Bastia 27 9 7 11 -2 34
15 Concarneau 27 9 6 12 -7 33
16 Troyes 27 7 10 10 -5 31
17 Dunkerque 27 8 7 12 -13 31
18 Quevilly Rouen 27 5 11 11 -3 26
19 Annecy 27 5 9 13 -11 24
20 Valenciennes 27 2 10 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Ajaccio
1–0 H. Abdelli
28′
38′
C. Ibayi 1–1
B. Touré
Half-time 1–1
Farid El Melali 🟨
59′
65′
🟨 Moussa Soumano
67′
🔁 A. Toure
↦ M. Soumano
O. Camara 🔁
↦ Z. Ould Khaled
68′
S. Chérif 🔁
↦ L. Rao-Lisoa
73′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
73′
78′
🔁 Y. Touzghar
↦ B. Touré
81′
🟨 Hamza Sakhi
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Lefort
84′
E. Lepaul 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
85′
2–1 E. Lepaul
Y. Valery
87′
3–1 L. Diony
E. Lepaul
94′
95′
🔁 J. Escartin
↦ C. Vidal
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
15 P. Capelle M
12 Z. Ould Khaled M
27 L. Rao-Lisoa M
10 H. Abdelli M
28 F. El Melali M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
29 O. Camara
11 S. Chérif
20 Z. Ferhat
26 F. Hanin
19 E. Lepaul
23 A. Hunou
16 M. Zinga

Coach: A. Dujeux

Ajaccio

4-3-3
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
5 C. Vidal D
21 C. Avinel D
3 S. Quemper D
29 H. Sakhi M
6 T. Mangani M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
11 B. Touré F
22 M. Soumano F
18 C. Ibayi F
Bench (7)
19 A. Toure
9 Y. Touzghar
44 J. Escartin
16 F. Sollacaro
31 T. Strata
27 T. Campanini
7 R. Nouri

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
2,89
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,93
U2,5
1,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.