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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Bastia

U T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

27%

41%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 37%

41%

32%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

4 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 16. · Ajaccio 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	23	14	4	5	+16	46
2	Auxerre	23	12	8	3	+22	44
3	Grenoble	23	10	10	3	+12	40
4	Laval	23	11	6	6	+3	39
5	Amiens	23	9	8	6	-1	35
6	Pau FC	23	8	9	6	+1	33
7	Caen	23	9	6	8	+0	33
8	Ajaccio	22	9	6	7	-1	33
9	Guingamp	23	8	8	7	+5	32
10	Paris FC	23	9	5	9	+1	32
11	St Etienne	23	9	5	9	-1	32
12	Rodez	23	8	7	8	+1	31
13	Bordeaux	23	8	5	10	-5	29
14	Concarneau	23	8	4	11	-8	28
15	Troyes	23	6	9	8	-1	27
16	Bastia	22	6	6	10	-3	24
17	Annecy	23	5	8	10	-5	23
18	Dunkerque	23	6	5	12	-15	23
19	Quevilly Rouen	23	4	9	10	-4	21
20	Valenciennes	23	2	8	13	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	12	10	2	0	+17	32
2	Ajaccio	11	7	4	0	+10	25
3	Grenoble	12	6	5	1	+8	23
4	Auxerre	11	6	3	2	+12	21
5	Rodez	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Amiens	13	5	6	2	+3	21
7	Pau FC	12	5	5	2	+5	20
8	Caen	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+4	18
10	Bastia	11	5	3	3	+2	18
11	Laval	12	5	3	4	-3	18
12	Paris FC	12	5	2	5	+3	17
13	Troyes	11	5	2	4	+2	17
14	St Etienne	12	4	3	5	+0	15
15	Concarneau	11	4	2	5	-4	14
16	Guingamp	11	3	4	4	+2	13
17	Annecy	11	2	5	4	-2	11
18	Quevilly Rouen	11	2	4	5	-2	10
19	Dunkerque	12	2	2	8	-12	8
20	Valenciennes	11	1	4	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	12	6	5	1	+10	23
2	Laval	11	6	3	2	+6	21
3	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+3	19
4	Grenoble	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	St Etienne	11	5	2	4	-1	17
6	Paris FC	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Dunkerque	11	4	3	4	-3	15
8	Caen	12	4	3	5	-5	15
9	Angers	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Concarneau	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Amiens	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Pau FC	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Annecy	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Quevilly Rouen	12	2	5	5	-2	11
15	Bordeaux	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Troyes	12	1	7	4	-3	10
17	Rodez	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Ajaccio	11	2	2	7	-11	8
19	Valenciennes	12	1	4	7	-11	7
20	Bastia	11	1	3	7	-5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.