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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Grenoble
S T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Caen
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 12. · Caen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 4 3 0 1 +5 9
2 Paris FC 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Lorient 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Pau FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Metz 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Bastia 4 2 2 0 +2 8
7 Annecy 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Ajaccio 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Amiens 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Dunkerque 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Red Star 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Clermont 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Martigues 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Laval 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Caen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Troyes 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Rodez 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Caen
4′
Alexandre Mendy 0–1
B. Brahimi
Lenny Joseph 🟨
12′
41′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
1–1 P. Meïssa Ba
42′
2–1 P. Meïssa Ba
T. Valls
45′
Half-time 2–1
52′
🟨 Daylam Meddah
3–1 G. Paquiez
59′
62′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ N. Lebreton
63′
🔁 H. Tavares
↦ D. Meddah
63′
🔁 T. Gomis
↦ B. Brahimi
70′
🟨 Yann M'Vila
J. Benet 🔁
↦ N. Mbemba
74′
M. Bangré 🔁
↦ A. Kérouédan
75′
75′
🔁 L. Milliner
↦ G. Kyeremeh
75′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ Alexandre Mendy
80′
🟨 Héliohdino Tavares
S. Delos 🔁
↦ A. Mendy
81′
L. Mouyokolo 🔁
↦ L. Joseph
93′
A. Jabbari 🔁
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

4-3-3
13 M. Diop G
29 G. Paquiez D
4 M. Diarra D
21 A. Tchaptchet D
77 A. Mendy D
6 D. Rigo M
25 T. Valls M
31 N. Mbemba M
19 L. Joseph F
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
9 A. Kérouédan F
Bench (7)
8 J. Benet
11 M. Bangré
17 S. Delos
24 L. Mouyokolo
38 A. Jabbari
23 N. Elphege
16 B. Allain

Coach: O. Tanchot

Caen

4-1-4-1
1 A. Mandréa G
27 D. Meddah D
77 D. Debohi
29 R. Thomas D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
6 Y. M'Vila M
10 B. Brahimi M
20 N. Lebreton M
14 L. Rajot M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
8 M. Le Bihan
26 H. Tavares
7 T. Gomis
37 L. Milliner
18 K. Coulibaly
3 D. Bolumbu
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
3,22
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.