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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Caen
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Grenoble
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
0,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
50%
14%
Both score Ø 24%
33%
14%
Average goals
2,5
0,9
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 4. · Grenoble 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 7 5 1 1 +5 16
2 Grenoble 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Amiens 7 4 1 2 +1 13
4 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
5 Auxerre 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Rodez 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Angers 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 St Etienne 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Guingamp 7 3 1 3 +5 10
10 Annecy 7 2 4 1 +3 10
11 Bordeaux 6 3 1 2 -1 10
12 Ajaccio 7 2 3 2 -4 9
13 Bastia 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Troyes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
16 Paris FC 7 2 0 5 -3 6
17 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -4 6
18 Valenciennes 7 1 3 3 -6 6
19 Concarneau 7 1 2 4 -6 5
20 Quevilly Rouen 7 0 2 5 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Grenoble
1–0 A. Abdi
M. Autret
19′
24′
🟨 Arial Mendy
Half-time 1–1
46′
P. Meïssa Ba 1–1
N. Thio
49′
P. Meïssa Ba 1–2
J. Benet
56′
🟨 Saikou Touray
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Y. Court
60′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
65′
68′
🔁 A. Sbaï
↦ L. Joseph
68′
🔁 V. Postolachi
↦ N. Thio
69′
🔁 B. Isola
↦ J. Benet
73′
🟨 Virgiliu Postolachi
81′
🔁 M. Xantippe
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
C. Zady Sery 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
89′
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
92 A. Coeff D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
23 M. Autret M
11 M. Le Bihan F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
18 H. Mbock
10 C. Zady Sery
7 T. Gomis
28 D. Diani
16 Y. Clémentia
3 D. Bolumbu

Coach: J. Furlan

Grenoble

4-3-3
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
14 L. Nestor D
4 M. Diarra D
77 A. Mendy D
70 S. Touray M
6 D. Rigo M
8 J. Benet M
19 L. Joseph F
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
22 N. Thio F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sbaï
17 V. Postolachi
20 B. Isola
27 M. Xantippe
2 A. Sanyang
16 B. Allain
29 G. Paquiez

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,35
B ✓
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.