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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Grenoble
S S U U U
5–1
Full-time
Caen
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Grenoble 4. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 22 12 7 3 +22 43
2 Angers 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Laval 22 11 6 5 +5 39
4 Grenoble 22 9 10 3 +8 37
5 Amiens 22 9 7 6 -1 34
6 Caen 22 9 6 7 +4 33
7 Ajaccio 22 9 6 7 -1 33
8 Guingamp 22 8 8 6 +8 32
9 Pau FC 22 8 8 6 +1 32
10 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Rodez 22 8 7 7 +2 31
12 Paris FC 22 9 4 9 +1 31
13 Bordeaux 22 8 5 9 -4 29
14 Concarneau 22 7 4 11 -9 25
15 Troyes 22 5 9 8 -2 24
16 Bastia 22 6 6 10 -3 24
17 Dunkerque 23 6 5 12 -15 23
18 Annecy 22 4 8 10 -8 20
19 Quevilly Rouen 22 3 9 10 -6 18
20 Valenciennes 22 2 8 12 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Caen
1–0 L. Nestor
36′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 P. Meïssa Ba
47′
3–0 P. Meïssa Ba
L. Joseph
55′
Dante Rigo 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ B. Brahimi
60′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ C. Zady Sery
60′
🔁 Q. Daubin
↦ H. Mbock
V. Postolachi 🔁
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
64′
N. Mbemba 🔁
↦ D. Rigo
65′
4–0 A. Sbaï
66′
68′
🔁 D. Meddah
↦ A. Abdi
72′
🔁 A. Coeff
↦ N. Lebreton
85′
🟥 Alexandre Coeff
S. Touray 🔁
↦ E. Sylvestre
86′
A. Sanyang 🔁
↦ A. Sbaï
86′
M. Xantippe 🔁
↦ G. Paquiez
87′
89′
Alexandre Mendy 4–1
V. Henry
91′
🟨 Daylam Meddah
5–1 S. Touray
95′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

4-3-3
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 A. Monfray D
14 L. Nestor D
29 G. Paquiez D
10 E. Sylvestre M
6 D. Rigo M
25 T. Valls M
19 L. Joseph F
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
11 A. Sbaï F
Bench (7)
17 V. Postolachi
31 N. Mbemba
70 S. Touray
2 A. Sanyang
27 M. Xantippe
4 M. Diarra
16 B. Allain

Coach: V. Hognon

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
20 N. Lebreton M
18 H. Mbock M
21 B. Brahimi M
11 M. Le Bihan M
10 C. Zady Sery M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
15 A. Salama
17 G. Kyeremeh
6 Q. Daubin
27 D. Meddah
92 A. Coeff
5 S. Ben Youssef
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,35
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.