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Ligue 2
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Rodez
S T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Reims
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 8. · Reims 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 St Etienne 9 6 2 1 +9 20
3 Pau FC 9 6 2 1 +8 20
4 Red Star 9 5 2 2 +6 17
5 Reims 9 4 2 3 +1 14
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 -3 14
7 Nancy 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Rodez 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Montpellier 9 3 2 4 -2 11
10 Dunkerque 9 2 4 3 +2 10
11 Le Mans 9 2 4 3 -1 10
12 Clermont 9 2 4 3 -4 10
13 Amiens 9 2 3 4 -2 9
14 Grenoble 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Boulogne 9 3 0 6 -4 9
17 Laval 9 1 5 3 -4 8
18 Bastia 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Reims
Samy Benchama 🟨
13′
1–0 O. Joly
N. Galves
20′
45′
K. Nakamura 1–1
T. Teuma
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 H. Ibrahim
↦ N. Bassette
54′
A. Tia 1–2
64′
🟨 Abdoul Kone
M. Tourraine 🔁
↦ N. Galves
70′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ O. Joly
70′
70′
🔁 Y. Demoncy
↦ A. Tia
70′
🔁 Zabi
↦ T. Teuma
72′
🟨 Yohan Demoncy
76′
🟨 Sergio Akieme
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
85′
I. Balde 🔁
↦ K. Nagera
85′
2–2 I. Balde
S. Benchamma
86′
R. Ponti 🔁
↦ S. Benchamma
90′
Mathys Tourraine 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Zabi
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert
26 S. Benchamma M
6 J. Mendes M
22 O. Joly M
9 K. Nagera F
11 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
16 L. Margueron
20 R. Ponti
14 M. Tourraine
7 M. Achi
8 W. Younoussa
10 M. Baaloudj
18 I. Balde

Coach: Didier Santini

Reims

4-2-3-1
29 E. Jaouen G
3 H. Sekine D
92 A. Kone D
5 N. Pallois D
18 S. Akieme D
87 A. Tia M
6 T. Leoni M
7 A. Leautey M
10 T. Teuma M
17 K. Nakamura M
77 N. Bassette F
Bench (7)
20 A. Olliero
28 Elie
4 M. Busi
23 Y. Demoncy
86 Zabi
58 T. Diarra
85 H. Ibrahim

Coach: Karel Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U ✓
3,45
B
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.