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Ligue 2

Referee: Mickael Leleu

Bastia

T T U T T

2–3

Full-time

Rodez

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 18. · Rodez 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Red Star	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Troyes	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Pau FC	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Amiens	6	2	3	1	+4	9
6	Clermont	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Annecy	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Reims	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Nancy	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Rodez	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Laval	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Guingamp	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Dunkerque	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Le Mans	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Grenoble	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Boulogne	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Bastia	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Le Mans	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Boulogne	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Annecy	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Amiens	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Laval	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Amiens	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Annecy	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Pau FC	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Laval	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nancy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Rodez	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Reims	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bastia	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.