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Ligue 2
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Boulogne
S T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Guingamp
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,9
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 16. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 St Etienne 9 6 2 1 +9 20
3 Pau FC 9 6 2 1 +8 20
4 Red Star 9 5 2 2 +6 17
5 Reims 9 4 2 3 +1 14
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 -3 14
7 Nancy 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Rodez 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Montpellier 9 3 2 4 -2 11
10 Dunkerque 9 2 4 3 +2 10
11 Le Mans 9 2 4 3 -1 10
12 Clermont 9 2 4 3 -4 10
13 Amiens 9 2 3 4 -2 9
14 Grenoble 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Boulogne 9 3 0 6 -4 9
17 Laval 9 1 5 3 -4 8
18 Bastia 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Guingamp
11′
D. Ourega 0–1
A. Hemia
Nolan Binet 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
C. Fatou 🔁
↦ G. Capuano
46′
47′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
Julien Boyer 🟨
52′
66′
L. Mafouta 0–2
A. Hemia
J. Bultel 🔁
↦ L. Raillot
67′
N. Fatar 🔁
↦ A. Platret
67′
1–2 C. Fatou
S. Duflos
69′
73′
🔁 G. Ott
↦ A. Sagna
74′
🔁 D. N'Landu
↦ A. Hemia
L. Boiteau 🔁
↦ S. Duflos
76′
77′
🔁 S. Kielt
↦ L. Mafouta
2–2 N. Fatar
C. Fatou
80′
Adrien Pinot 🟨
83′
S. Gourville 🔁
↦ N. Binet
88′
Luka Boiteau 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
30 A. Uriev G
18 D. Thiam D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
8 L. Raillot M
21 A. Platret M
22 S. Duflos M
19 N. Binet M
10 A. El Farissi M
26 G. Capuano F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
25 S. Gourville
7 L. Boiteau
14 J. Bultel
27 E. Mpembele Boula
23 N. Fatar
17 C. Fatou

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
22 A. Sissoko D
23 D. Ourega D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
20 J. Hatchi M
10 A. Hemia F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
40 N. Marec
36 A. Demouchy
3 J. Matumona
6 D. N'Landu
39 T. Ahile
24 G. Ott
27 S. Kielt

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,10
B
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.