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Ligue 2
Referee: Alexandre Perreau Niel
Le Mans
S U U S U
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 5. · Amiens 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 St Etienne 15 9 2 4 +11 29
3 Red Star 15 8 4 3 +6 28
4 Reims 15 7 4 4 +8 25
5 Le Mans 15 6 6 3 +3 24
6 Montpellier 15 7 3 5 +3 24
7 Guingamp 15 6 5 4 -1 23
8 Pau FC 15 6 5 4 -2 23
9 Dunkerque 15 5 6 4 +8 21
10 Annecy 15 5 4 6 +1 19
11 Clermont 15 4 6 5 -4 18
12 Grenoble 15 4 5 6 -3 17
13 Rodez 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Laval 15 3 6 6 -4 15
15 Amiens 15 4 3 8 -5 15
16 Boulogne 15 4 3 8 -7 15
17 Nancy 15 4 3 8 -7 15
18 Bastia 15 1 4 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Mans Amiens
1–0 A. Rabillard ⚽
L. Calodat
40′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 P. Paul
↦ M. Touho
A. Lauray 🔁
↦ M. Rossignol
66′
T. Luvambo 🔁
↦ A. Rabillard
66′
E. Colas 🔁
↦ D. Gueye
66′
Milan Robin 🟨
70′
75′
🔁 C. Injai
↦ I. Abdelkrim
75′
🔁 A. Traore
↦ I. Hamache
I. Hammoudi 🔁
↦ M. Robin
80′
A. Ribelin 🔁
↦ L. Calodat
84′
90′
🔁 N. Talbot
↦ A. Chabane
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
18 L. Buades D
21 T. Eyoum D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
22 L. Calodat D
27 M. Rossignol M
6 E. Quarshie M
24 M. Robin M
9 A. Rabillard F
25 D. Gueye F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
3 I. Cossier
31 I. Hammoudi
8 A. Lauray
23 T. Luvambo
12 A. Ribelin
28 E. Colas

Coach: Patrick Videira

Amiens

4-5-1
40 P. Bernardoni G
39 A. Chabane D
34 S. Bakayoko D
20 K. Kaiboue D
44 C. Louis D
94 M. Touho M
27 R. Lutin M
75 I. Abdelkrim M
15 J. Nduquidi M
7 I. Hamache M
11 T. Averlant F
Bench (7)
16 A. Sauvage
47 A. Drame
59 N. Talbot
42 C. Injai
77 I. Daf
74 P. Paul
23 A. Traore

Coach: Omar Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,37
B
7,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.