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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Amiens
S T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Guingamp
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 14. · Guingamp 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 Red Star 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 St Etienne 14 8 2 4 +10 26
4 Montpellier 14 7 3 4 +5 24
5 Le Mans 15 6 6 3 +3 24
6 Pau FC 15 6 5 4 -2 23
7 Reims 14 6 4 4 +6 22
8 Dunkerque 15 5 6 4 +8 21
9 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Annecy 15 5 4 6 +1 19
11 Grenoble 15 4 5 6 -3 17
12 Clermont 14 4 5 5 -4 17
13 Rodez 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Amiens 14 4 3 7 -4 15
15 Nancy 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Boulogne 15 4 3 8 -7 15
17 Laval 14 2 6 6 -6 12
18 Bastia 14 1 4 9 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Guingamp
1–0 T. Averlant
I. Fofana
19′
28′
L. Mafouta 1–1
33′
L. Mafouta 1–2
D. Gomis
Kylian Kaiboue 🟨
36′
Rayan Lutin 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
Yvan Ikia Dimi 🟨
62′
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ Y. Ikia Dimi
62′
71′
🟨 Sohaib Nair
J. Nduquidi 🔁
↦ J. Mlakar
77′
A. Chibozo 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
78′
M. Touho 🔁
↦ T. Averlant
78′
81′
🔁 G. Ott
↦ J. Hatchi
82′
🔁 F. Mbemba
↦ S. Kielt
Ibrahim Fofana 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Alpha Sissoko
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-2
40 P. Bernardoni G
39 A. Chabane D
34 S. Bakayoko D
20 K. Kaiboue D
44 C. Louis D
11 T. Averlant M
45 I. Fofana M
6 T. Monconduit M
26 Y. Ikia Dimi M
27 R. Lutin F
9 J. Mlakar F
Bench (7)
16 A. Sauvage
59 N. Talbot
42 C. Injai
15 J. Nduquidi
17 A. Chibozo
7 I. Hamache
94 M. Touho

Coach: Omar Daf

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
23 D. Ourega D
11 A. Sagna M
39 T. Ahile M
4 D. Louiserre M
20 J. Hatchi M
27 S. Kielt F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
40 N. Marec
36 A. Demouchy
3 J. Matumona
2 E. Koffi
29 A. Abdallah
24 G. Ott
21 F. Mbemba

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,93
U
3,34
B ✓
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.