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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

West Brom

S U S U T

2–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Championship · 41/39 matches

Win Ø 47%

39%

54%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

37%

51%

Both score Ø 42%

32%

51%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 10. · Bournemouth 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	41	27	8	6	+63	89
2	Bournemouth	39	21	11	7	+29	74
3	Huddersfield	40	19	12	9	+14	69
4	Sheffield United	40	20	8	12	+18	68
5	Luton	41	19	11	11	+17	68
6	Middlesbrough	41	20	8	13	+17	68
7	Blackburn	41	18	11	12	+14	65
8	Nott'm Forest	36	18	8	10	+23	62
9	Coventry	42	17	11	14	+7	62
10	West Brom	41	16	12	13	+9	60
11	Swansea	41	17	9	15	-2	60
12	Preston	42	15	15	12	-2	60
13	QPR	42	17	8	17	+0	59
14	Millwall	41	15	13	13	+1	58
15	Stoke	42	15	11	16	+6	56
16	Blackpool	40	15	10	15	-1	55
17	Derby	42	13	13	16	-6	52
18	Cardiff	41	14	8	19	-11	50
19	Bristol City	41	13	8	20	-20	47
20	Reading	42	13	8	21	-26	47
21	Birmingham	42	11	13	18	-18	46
22	Hull	42	12	8	22	-10	44
23	Barnsley	40	6	12	22	-26	30
24	Peterboro	40	6	9	25	-48	27
25	Peterborough	40	6	9	25	-48	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	20	13	4	3	+30	43
2	Blackburn	21	13	4	4	+18	43
3	Middlesbrough	20	13	2	5	+14	41
4	Derby	21	11	7	3	+11	40
5	Sheffield United	19	12	3	4	+23	39
6	Bournemouth	20	11	6	3	+18	39
7	Luton	20	11	5	4	+16	38
8	Coventry	22	11	5	6	+13	38
9	Huddersfield	19	11	5	3	+12	38
10	West Brom	19	10	7	2	+15	37
11	Nott'm Forest	20	11	3	6	+13	36
12	Millwall	20	10	6	4	+9	36
13	Blackpool	22	11	3	8	+2	36
14	Stoke	21	10	4	7	+9	34
15	Preston	20	8	9	3	+5	33
16	QPR	22	9	6	7	+4	33
17	Swansea	19	9	5	5	+6	32
18	Reading	21	8	4	9	-7	28
19	Bristol City	20	7	6	7	-1	27
20	Cardiff	22	8	3	11	-2	27
21	Birmingham	21	7	6	8	-3	27
22	Barnsley	20	5	7	8	-5	22
23	Peterboro	20	4	7	9	-11	19
24	Peterborough	20	4	7	9	-11	19
25	Hull	21	5	3	13	-11	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	21	14	4	3	+33	46
2	Bournemouth	19	10	5	4	+11	35
3	Huddersfield	21	8	7	6	+2	31
4	Luton	21	8	6	7	+1	30
5	Sheffield United	21	8	5	8	-5	29
6	Swansea	22	8	4	10	-8	28
7	Middlesbrough	21	7	6	8	+3	27
8	Preston	22	7	6	9	-7	27
9	Nott'm Forest	16	7	5	4	+10	26
10	Hull	21	7	5	9	+1	26
11	QPR	20	8	2	10	-4	26
12	Coventry	20	6	6	8	-6	24
13	West Brom	22	6	5	11	-6	23
14	Cardiff	19	6	5	8	-9	23
15	Stoke	21	5	7	9	-3	22
16	Blackburn	20	5	7	8	-4	22
17	Millwall	21	5	7	9	-8	22
18	Bristol City	21	6	2	13	-19	20
19	Blackpool	18	4	7	7	-3	19
20	Birmingham	21	4	7	10	-15	19
21	Reading	21	5	4	12	-19	19
22	Derby	21	2	6	13	-17	12
23	Barnsley	20	1	5	14	-21	8
24	Peterboro	20	2	2	16	-37	8
25	Peterborough	20	2	2	16	-37	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.