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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Birmingham
T S U T U
1–0
Full-time
West Brom
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 41/40 matches
Win Ø 32%
24%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
3 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 22. · West Brom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 40 26 8 6 +62 86
2 Bournemouth 39 21 11 7 +29 74
3 Huddersfield 40 19 12 9 +14 69
4 Middlesbrough 40 20 8 12 +18 68
5 Luton 39 19 9 11 +17 66
6 Sheffield United 39 19 8 12 +17 65
7 Blackburn 41 18 11 12 +14 65
8 Coventry 41 17 11 13 +9 62
9 West Brom 40 16 12 12 +10 60
10 Nott'm Forest 35 17 8 10 +21 59
11 QPR 41 17 8 16 +1 59
12 Millwall 40 15 13 12 +2 58
13 Swansea 40 16 9 15 -3 57
14 Preston 41 14 15 12 -3 57
15 Stoke 41 15 11 15 +7 56
16 Blackpool 39 15 10 14 +0 55
17 Derby 42 13 13 16 -6 52
18 Cardiff 41 14 8 19 -11 50
19 Bristol City 41 13 8 20 -20 47
20 Hull 42 12 8 22 -10 44
21 Reading 41 12 8 21 -27 44
22 Birmingham 41 10 13 18 -19 43
23 Barnsley 40 6 12 22 -26 30
24 Peterboro 39 6 8 25 -48 26
25 Peterborough 39 6 8 25 -48 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham West Brom
Half-time 0–0
T. Richards 🔁
↦ T. Chong
56′
60′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ T. Gardner-Hickman
1–0 L. Taylor
67′
68′
🔁 A. Carroll
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
Lyle Taylor 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Callum Robinson
76′
🔁 A. Reach
↦ C. Townsend
Juninho Bacuna 🟨
85′
I. Šunjić 🔁
↦ J. Bacuna
85′
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ L. Taylor
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

3-4-3
1 N. Etheridge G
2 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen M
50 N. Gordon D
20 G. Gardner M
25 O. Hernández M
21 J. Bacuna M
7 T. Chong F
33 L. Taylor F
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (7)
8 T. Richards
34 I. Šunjić
10 L. Jutkiewicz
27 C. Trueman
24 J. Graham
11 Jérémie Bela
6 R. Woods

Coach: L. Bowyer

West Brom

3-5-2
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
3 C. Townsend M
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong M
8 J. Livermore M
27 A. Mowatt M
16 M. Clarke D
7 C. Robinson F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
29 T. Gardner-Hickman M
Bench (7)
11 G. Diangana
15 A. Carroll
20 A. Reach
14 J. Molumby
4 D. O'Shea
21 C. Kipre
25 D. Button

Coach: S. Bruce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,68
U
3,38
B
2,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.