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Serie B

Monza

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Ascoli

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 49%

50%

47%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

47%

44%

Both score Ø 55%

53%

56%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 4

20 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 5. · Ascoli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	33	18	9	6	+19	63
2	Lecce	33	16	14	3	+26	62
3	Pisa	32	16	10	6	+12	58
4	Benevento	32	16	9	7	+25	57
5	Monza	32	16	9	7	+19	57
6	Brescia	32	15	12	5	+17	57
7	Ascoli	32	15	7	10	+5	52
8	Frosinone	33	13	12	8	+13	51
9	Perugia	32	11	14	7	+6	47
10	Parma	33	10	15	8	+7	45
11	Cittadella	32	11	11	10	+2	44
12	Como	33	10	14	9	-2	44
13	Ternana	33	12	8	13	-3	44
14	Reggina	33	12	8	13	-11	44
15	Spal	33	7	13	13	-11	34
16	Alessandria	33	6	8	19	-24	26
17	Cosenza	32	5	10	17	-23	25
18	Vicenza	32	6	6	20	-23	24
19	Crotone	32	3	11	18	-20	20
20	Pordenone	33	3	8	22	-34	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Cremonese	17	10	6	1	+13	36
3	Lecce	16	10	5	1	+19	35
4	Pisa	16	9	6	1	+11	33
5	Benevento	16	9	4	3	+19	31
6	Frosinone	16	8	6	2	+15	30
7	Reggina	17	8	2	7	-3	26
8	Brescia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
9	Ternana	17	8	1	8	+2	25
10	Parma	17	5	8	4	+6	23
11	Ascoli	16	6	5	5	+1	23
12	Cittadella	16	6	4	6	+4	22
13	Como	16	5	7	4	+3	22
14	Perugia	16	4	7	5	+1	19
15	Cosenza	15	5	3	7	-4	18
16	Crotone	16	3	8	5	-2	17
17	Alessandria	16	4	5	7	-8	17
18	Spal	17	3	7	7	-1	16
19	Vicenza	16	4	4	8	-4	16
20	Pordenone	17	2	6	9	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	16	9	5	2	+11	32
2	Ascoli	16	9	2	5	+4	29
3	Perugia	16	7	7	2	+5	28
4	Lecce	17	6	9	2	+7	27
5	Cremonese	16	8	3	5	+6	27
6	Benevento	16	7	5	4	+6	26
7	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Parma	16	5	7	4	+1	22
9	Cittadella	16	5	7	4	-2	22
10	Como	17	5	7	5	-5	22
11	Monza	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Frosinone	17	5	6	6	-2	21
13	Ternana	16	4	7	5	-5	19
14	Reggina	16	4	6	6	-8	18
15	Spal	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Alessandria	17	2	3	12	-16	9
17	Vicenza	16	2	2	12	-19	8
18	Cosenza	17	0	7	10	-19	7
19	Pordenone	16	1	2	13	-22	5
20	Crotone	16	0	3	13	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.