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Serie B

Perugia

S T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 7

4 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 6. · Ascoli 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Crotone	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Benevento	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Empoli	9	4	4	1	+4	16
4	Ascoli	9	5	0	4	+6	15
5	Salernitana	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Perugia	9	4	3	2	+1	15
7	Chievo	9	3	5	1	+4	14
8	Pescara	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Cittadella	9	4	1	4	-3	13
10	Pordenone	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Venezia	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Virtus Entella	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	-3	12
14	Pisa	9	2	4	3	+2	10
15	Spezia	9	3	1	5	-2	10
16	Frosinone	9	2	4	3	-4	10
17	Cosenza	9	1	5	3	-1	8
18	Livorno	9	2	1	6	-5	7
19	Juve Stabia	9	2	1	6	-9	7
20	Trapani	9	1	3	5	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Pordenone	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Crotone	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Empoli	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Benevento	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Perugia	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Pescara	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Virtus Entella	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Chievo	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Salernitana	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Livorno	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	-2	6
15	Pisa	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Cosenza	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Juve Stabia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
20	Trapani	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Benevento	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Crotone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Cittadella	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Pescara	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Spezia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Empoli	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Trapani	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Juve Stabia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Ascoli	4	1	0	3	+0	3
18	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Livorno	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Pordenone	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.