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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Barcelona

T S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Valladolid

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 49%

67%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

67%

10%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

3,7

1,9

Scored

2,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Valladolid 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	10	6	2	2	+7	20
2	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+5	20
3	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+13	19
4	Sociedad	10	6	1	3	+7	19
5	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
7	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+10	17
8	Valladolid	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Osasuna	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Ath Bilbao	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Getafe	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	Levante	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Mallorca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
16	Eibar	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Celta	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Betis	10	2	3	5	-8	9
19	Espanol	10	2	2	6	-10	8
20	Leganes	10	1	2	7	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
5	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Mallorca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+6	9
11	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
12	Osasuna	5	2	3	0	+3	9
13	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
16	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	-1	9
3	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	+1	6
10	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Ath Bilbao	5	0	3	2	-3	3
14	Levante	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Betis	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.