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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Cercle Brugge
T T T T U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 24%
14%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
64%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4 Corners 5
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 18. · Royal Excel Mouscron 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 10 3 0 +26 33
2 Standard 13 8 3 2 +18 27
3 Mechelen 14 8 3 3 +6 27
4 Genk 14 8 2 4 +9 26
5 Gent 13 7 3 3 +11 24
6 Charleroi 13 7 3 3 +9 24
7 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +11 23
8 Waregem 13 5 5 3 +6 20
9 Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Anderlecht 14 3 6 5 -1 15
12 Kortrijk 13 4 2 7 -1 14
13 St Truiden 14 3 5 6 -11 14
14 Oostende 13 3 2 8 -12 11
15 Eupen 14 2 5 7 -17 11
16 Waasland-Beveren 12 1 4 7 -16 7
17 Beveren 12 1 4 7 -16 7
18 Cercle Brugge 14 2 1 11 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 S. Peeters
K. Hoggas
1′
22′
C. Omoigui 1–1
Aleix García
25′
🟨 Jonah Osabutey
T. Somers 🔁
↦ S. Peeters
42′
Thibo Somers 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
55′
🔁 D. Mohamed
↦ Aleix García
Giulian Biancone 🟨
57′
I. Saadi 🔁
↦ T. Somers
58′
65′
🟨 Nathan De Medina
66′
🟨 Diogo Queirós
2–1 A. Gory
G. Biancone
74′
83′
D. Mohamed 2–2
J. Serrano 🔁
↦ A. Gory
85′
89′
🔁 N. Antonov
↦ F. Olinga
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 G. Hubert G
4 J. Taravel D
5 N. Ueda D
14 J. Panzo D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
20 K. Hoggas M
30 G. Donsah M
26 C. Dekuyper M
7 K. Hazard F
28 A. Gory M
Bench (7)
34 T. Somers
9 I. Saadi
3 J. Serrano
15 J. Omolo
40 L. Badiashile
19 K. N'Guessan
22 K. Dabila

Coach: B. Storck

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
90 V. Vasić G
25 R. Pietrzak D
33 K. Wimmer D
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
24 Aleix García M
30 B. Van Durmen M
7 F. Olinga F
20 C. Omoigui F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
11 D. Mohamed
3 N. Antonov
22 Joan Campins
28 J. Huyghebaert
9 S. Allagui
13 A. Ciranni
16 C. Libertiaux

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.