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Serie B

Perugia

U S T T S

2–2

Full-time

Cosenza

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Cosenza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

29%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

8 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 8. · Cosenza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Pordenone	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Cittadella	15	7	4	4	+1	25
4	Chievo	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Frosinone	15	6	5	4	+5	23
6	Crotone	15	6	4	5	+5	22
7	Virtus Entella	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	Perugia	14	6	4	4	-1	22
9	Ascoli	15	6	3	6	+4	21
10	Pescara	15	6	3	6	+3	21
11	Empoli	15	5	6	4	-2	21
12	Pisa	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Spezia	15	5	4	6	+1	19
14	Salernitana	15	5	4	6	-2	19
15	Venezia	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Cremonese	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Juve Stabia	15	4	2	9	-11	14
18	Cosenza	14	2	7	5	-1	13
19	Trapani	15	3	4	8	-12	13
20	Livorno	15	3	2	10	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Pordenone	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Frosinone	7	5	2	0	+11	17
4	Ascoli	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Crotone	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Empoli	8	4	3	1	+5	15
7	Chievo	7	4	3	0	+5	15
8	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Perugia	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Virtus Entella	7	4	2	1	+3	14
11	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
12	Pescara	8	3	3	2	+5	12
13	Spezia	8	3	2	3	+2	11
14	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
15	Salernitana	7	2	4	1	+1	10
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Livorno	7	3	0	4	-1	9
18	Cosenza	7	1	4	2	+0	7
19	Venezia	7	2	1	4	-4	7
20	Trapani	7	1	3	3	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+1	12
2	Venezia	8	2	5	1	+2	11
3	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+1	11
4	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-1	9
5	Pescara	7	3	0	4	-2	9
6	Salernitana	8	3	0	5	-3	9
7	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Virtus Entella	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Perugia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Crotone	7	2	1	4	-1	7
11	Trapani	8	2	1	5	-10	7
12	Cosenza	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Empoli	7	1	3	3	-7	6
16	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Ascoli	8	1	2	5	-3	5
18	Pordenone	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Juve Stabia	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Livorno	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.