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Serie B

Crotone

S S U S T

2–3

Full-time

Perugia

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

14 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 4

13 Corners 1

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 2. · Perugia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	6	3	1	+6	21
2	Crotone	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Chievo	11	4	6	1	+5	18
4	Empoli	10	4	5	1	+4	17
5	Ascoli	10	5	1	4	+6	16
6	Perugia	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Cittadella	10	5	1	4	-2	16
8	Pordenone	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Salernitana	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Virtus Entella	10	4	3	3	-1	15
11	Pisa	10	3	4	3	+3	13
12	Pescara	10	4	1	5	+1	13
13	Frosinone	10	3	4	3	-1	13
14	Venezia	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Spezia	11	3	3	5	-2	12
16	Cremonese	10	3	3	4	-5	12
17	Juve Stabia	10	3	1	6	-8	10
18	Cosenza	10	1	5	4	-2	8
19	Livorno	10	2	1	7	-6	7
20	Trapani	10	1	3	6	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Ascoli	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Pordenone	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Crotone	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Empoli	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Perugia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Virtus Entella	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Chievo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Cittadella	5	3	0	2	-1	9
11	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Pescara	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Salernitana	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Livorno	5	2	0	3	-1	6
16	Juve Stabia	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Cosenza	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Trapani	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
2	Salernitana	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Benevento	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Crotone	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Spezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Cittadella	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Pescara	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	Empoli	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	+0	4
16	Pordenone	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Juve Stabia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Trapani	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Livorno	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.