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Serie B

Brescia

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Crotone

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

3,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

3,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 7

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 1. · Crotone 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Pisa	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ascoli	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Parma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Reggina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Monza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Spal	3	1	1	1	+4	4
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Perugia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cosenza	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Crotone	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Alessandria	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Cittadella	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Spal	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Reggina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Crotone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alessandria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Como	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Parma	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Como	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alessandria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Cosenza	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.