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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
3–4
Full-time
Karagumruk
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 10. · Karagumruk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Trabzonspor 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Konyaspor 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Galatasaray 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 +6 7
7 Karagumruk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Kayserispor 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Altay 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 2 0 2 -4 6
11 Alanyaspor 4 2 0 2 -6 6
12 Goztep 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Gaziantep 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Antalyaspor 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Sivasspor 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Ad. Demirspor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Rizespor 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Buyuksehyr 4 0 0 4 -4 0
20 Giresunspor 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeni Malatyaspor Karagumruk
1–0 B. Tetteh
O. Haddadi
18′
23′
🟨 Erhun Oztumer
2–0 M. Eskihellaç
M. Chouiar
24′
30′
A. Bertolacci 2–1
E. Tatlı
37′
🔁 S. Ahmetoğlu
↦ V. Hedenstad
3–1 M. Chouiar
A. Büyük
40′
44′
A. Pešić 3–2
J. Balkovec
Half-time 3–2
J. Nshimirimana 🔁
↦ M. Sarıkaya
46′
46′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ E. Tatlı
Sadık Çiftpınar 🟨
48′
Didier N'Dong 🟨
49′
Jospin Nshimirimana 🟨
55′
57′
🟨 Ervin Zukanović
Jospin Nshimirimana 🟨
61′
Jospin Nshimirimana 🟥
61′
63′
🔁 K. Frei
↦ Y. Karamoh
63′
🔁 C. Erkin
↦ J. Balkovec
Mounir Chouiar 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Andrea Bertolacci
Adem Büyük ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
71′
71′
ℹ️ Adem Büyük
VAR: Penalty confirmed
76′
A. Pešić 3–3
77′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ E. Öztümer
H. Osman 🔁
↦ B. Tetteh
80′
P. Awuku 🔁
↦ O. Haddadi
81′
Philip Gameli Awuku 🟨
83′
S. Kaya 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
87′
88′
A. Bertolacci 3–4
C. Erkin
Rayane Aabid 🟨
99′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Yeni Malatyaspor

3-5-2
22 A. Damlu G
5 O. Haddadi M
16 S. Çiftpınar D
13 Wallace D
80 M. Sarıkaya D
11 D. Ndong M
8 R. Aabid M
7 M. Eskihellaç M
10 A. Büyük F
30 B. Tetteh F
44 M. Chouiar M
Bench (10)
66 J. Nshimirimana
19 H. Osman
3 P. Awuku
26 S. Kaya
17 M. Örnek
14 S. Mallan
20 W. Bwalya
90 K. Kanatsızkuş
97 H. Özkan
99 A. Türkaslan

Coach: İ. Buz

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad D
29 J. Balkovec D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
91 A. Bertolacci M
8 E. Öztümer M
14 E. Tatlı M
72 A. Pešić F
7 A. Musa M
92 Y. Karamoh M
Bench (10)
27 S. Ahmetoğlu
10 J. Durmaz
11 K. Frei
88 C. Erkin
9 E. Mor
24 V. Arveladze
77 A. Ugur
18 L. Mercan
37 Ö. Ersoy
1 Y. Aygün

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,32
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.