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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Strasbourg

T T U S T

3–0

Full-time

Metz

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 15. · Metz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Angers	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Nice	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Lens	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Lille	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Strasbourg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Brest	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Metz	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Bordeaux	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Lille	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	St Etienne	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.