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Serie B

Ternana

T T S U U

1–0

Full-time

Crotone

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

2,2

0,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

36%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 22

6 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 9

12 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 13. · Crotone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Brescia	14	8	3	3	+9	27
3	Lecce	14	6	7	1	+11	25
4	Frosinone	14	5	8	1	+8	23
5	Benevento	14	6	4	4	+9	22
6	Cremonese	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Ascoli	14	6	4	4	+2	22
8	Monza	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Reggina	14	6	4	4	-1	22
10	Perugia	14	5	6	3	+2	21
11	Cittadella	14	6	3	5	+0	21
12	Como	14	5	5	4	+3	20
13	Ternana	14	5	3	6	+1	18
14	Parma	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Spal	14	4	5	5	+3	17
16	Cosenza	14	4	3	7	-7	15
17	Alessandria	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Crotone	14	1	5	8	-12	8
19	Vicenza	14	2	1	11	-14	7
20	Pordenone	14	0	4	10	-20	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Monza	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Lecce	7	4	3	0	+10	15
4	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Cittadella	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Cosenza	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cremonese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Brescia	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Como	7	3	2	2	+3	11
10	Frosinone	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Reggina	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Ternana	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Alessandria	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Spal	7	2	3	2	+4	9
15	Parma	6	2	3	1	+1	9
16	Perugia	7	2	3	2	+0	9
17	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Vicenza	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Ascoli	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Frosinone	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Perugia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Reggina	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	Lecce	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Como	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Parma	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Benevento	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Ternana	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Spal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Monza	8	0	6	2	-4	6
16	Vicenza	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
19	Cosenza	7	0	2	5	-11	2
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.