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Serie B

Crotone

U S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Monza

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

36%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

64%

27%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

11 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 18. · Monza 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	12	7	3	2	+9	24
2	Lecce	12	6	5	1	+11	23
3	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Reggina	12	6	4	2	+4	22
5	Frosinone	12	5	6	1	+8	21
6	Benevento	12	5	4	3	+6	19
7	Como	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Cremonese	12	5	4	3	+4	19
9	Ascoli	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	Monza	11	4	5	2	+1	17
11	Perugia	12	4	5	3	+0	17
12	Ternana	12	5	1	6	+1	16
13	Parma	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Cittadella	11	5	1	5	-2	16
15	Spal	12	3	5	4	+3	14
16	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-6	14
17	Alessandria	12	2	2	8	-11	8
18	Crotone	11	1	4	6	-9	7
19	Vicenza	12	1	1	10	-14	4
20	Pordenone	12	0	3	9	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Cosenza	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Monza	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Cremonese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Brescia	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Benevento	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Como	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Spal	6	2	3	1	+5	9
12	Ternana	6	3	0	3	+2	9
13	Frosinone	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Parma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Alessandria	6	2	1	3	-4	7
17	Crotone	6	1	3	2	-4	6
18	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
19	Pordenone	6	0	2	4	-9	2
20	Vicenza	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Frosinone	6	3	3	0	+7	12
3	Perugia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
4	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Como	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Lecce	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Benevento	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Parma	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Ternana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Spal	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Monza	6	0	4	2	-4	4
16	Vicenza	7	1	0	6	-8	3
17	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Alessandria	6	0	1	5	-7	1
19	Pordenone	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Cosenza	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.