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Serie B

Perugia

S U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Crotone

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

33%

58%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 13. · Crotone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	13	6	6	1	+11	24
2	Brescia	12	7	3	2	+9	24
3	Pisa	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	Frosinone	13	5	7	1	+8	22
5	Reggina	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Ascoli	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Cittadella	13	6	2	5	+0	20
8	Benevento	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Como	12	5	4	3	+4	19
10	Cremonese	12	5	4	3	+4	19
11	Monza	12	4	6	2	+1	18
12	Ternana	13	5	2	6	+1	17
13	Perugia	12	4	5	3	+0	17
14	Parma	12	4	4	4	-1	16
15	Spal	13	3	5	5	+2	14
16	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-6	14
17	Alessandria	13	3	2	8	-10	11
18	Crotone	12	1	5	6	-9	8
19	Vicenza	12	1	1	10	-14	4
20	Pordenone	13	0	3	10	-20	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Cosenza	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Monza	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Cittadella	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Cremonese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Brescia	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Benevento	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Como	6	3	1	2	+3	10
11	Ternana	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Frosinone	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Spal	7	2	3	2	+4	9
14	Parma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Crotone	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Alessandria	6	2	1	3	-4	7
18	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
19	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Vicenza	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	7	4	2	1	+4	14
2	Brescia	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Frosinone	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Perugia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Lecce	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Como	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Benevento	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Parma	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Ternana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Cittadella	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Spal	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Monza	7	0	5	2	-4	5
16	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-6	4
17	Vicenza	7	1	0	6	-8	3
18	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Pordenone	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Cosenza	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.