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Serie B

Crotone

S U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Brescia

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

45%

32%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 7

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 18. · Brescia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	23	13	5	5	+16	44
2	Lecce	22	11	9	2	+17	42
3	Pisa	23	11	9	3	+12	42
4	Monza	23	11	8	4	+11	41
5	Brescia	22	11	7	4	+12	40
6	Benevento	22	10	7	5	+13	37
7	Frosinone	22	9	10	3	+13	37
8	Perugia	23	9	10	4	+7	37
9	Cittadella	23	9	8	6	+2	35
10	Ascoli	22	9	6	7	+1	33
11	Reggina	23	8	5	10	-10	29
12	Como	22	6	10	6	+1	28
13	Parma	23	6	10	7	+0	28
14	Ternana	23	7	7	9	-1	28
15	Spal	23	5	8	10	-10	23
16	Alessandria	22	6	4	12	-9	22
17	Cosenza	23	4	7	12	-17	19
18	Crotone	22	2	8	12	-13	14
19	Vicenza	23	3	4	16	-19	13
20	Pordenone	23	2	6	15	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Lecce	11	7	4	0	+14	25
3	Cremonese	12	7	4	1	+10	25
4	Pisa	12	6	5	1	+6	23
5	Benevento	11	6	3	2	+10	21
6	Frosinone	11	4	6	1	+7	18
7	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Perugia	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Ternana	12	5	1	6	+0	16
10	Como	11	3	5	3	+2	14
11	Parma	11	3	5	3	+2	14
12	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
13	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Alessandria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
15	Reggina	11	4	2	5	-5	14
16	Spal	12	2	5	5	-2	11
17	Crotone	11	2	5	4	-3	11
18	Ascoli	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Pordenone	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Vicenza	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Perugia	12	5	6	1	+4	21
4	Frosinone	11	5	4	2	+6	19
5	Cremonese	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Pisa	11	5	4	2	+6	19
7	Lecce	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-2	17
9	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Reggina	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Como	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Parma	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Ternana	11	2	6	3	-1	12
14	Monza	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Spal	11	3	3	5	-8	12
16	Alessandria	11	2	2	7	-5	8
17	Vicenza	12	2	1	9	-11	7
18	Cosenza	11	0	5	6	-14	5
19	Pordenone	11	1	2	8	-16	5
20	Crotone	11	0	3	8	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.