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Serie B
Crotone
T T S U U
0–0
Full-time
Cittadella
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
10%
40%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 5
17 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 18. · Cittadella 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lecce 20 11 7 2 +17 40
2 Pisa 20 11 6 3 +12 39
3 Brescia 20 11 5 4 +12 38
4 Benevento 20 10 5 5 +13 35
5 Cremonese 20 10 5 5 +11 35
6 Monza 20 9 8 3 +7 35
7 Frosinone 20 8 10 2 +14 34
8 Ascoli 20 9 5 6 +2 32
9 Cittadella 20 8 7 5 +3 31
10 Perugia 20 6 10 4 +2 28
11 Como 20 6 8 6 +1 26
12 Parma 20 5 9 6 -1 24
13 Ternana 20 6 6 8 -2 24
14 Reggina 20 6 5 9 -11 23
15 Spal 20 5 7 8 -4 22
16 Alessandria 20 6 2 12 -9 20
17 Cosenza 20 4 5 11 -16 17
18 Crotone 20 2 7 11 -12 13
19 Vicenza 20 3 2 15 -17 11
20 Pordenone 20 2 5 13 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,10
B
2,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.