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Serie B

Spal

U S T U S

1–2

Full-time

Ascoli

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

61%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 7

3 Corners 6

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 15. · Ascoli 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	29	14	12	3	+22	54
2	Cremonese	28	15	8	5	+18	53
3	Brescia	29	14	10	5	+15	52
4	Pisa	28	14	10	4	+14	52
5	Monza	28	13	9	6	+13	48
6	Benevento	27	13	8	6	+18	47
7	Frosinone	28	11	12	5	+13	45
8	Perugia	29	11	12	6	+7	45
9	Cittadella	29	11	10	8	+4	43
10	Ascoli	28	12	7	9	+3	43
11	Reggina	29	11	6	12	-9	39
12	Ternana	29	10	7	12	-4	37
13	Como	28	8	12	8	-4	36
14	Parma	29	7	14	8	+3	35
15	Spal	28	7	10	11	-8	31
16	Alessandria	28	6	7	15	-14	25
17	Cosenza	28	5	8	15	-20	23
18	Vicenza	28	5	6	17	-18	21
19	Crotone	28	2	10	16	-19	16
20	Pordenone	28	2	6	20	-34	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	15	9	5	1	+18	32
2	Monza	14	9	3	2	+13	30
3	Cremonese	14	8	5	1	+11	29
4	Pisa	14	7	6	1	+7	27
5	Benevento	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Frosinone	14	6	6	2	+10	24
7	Reggina	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	Ternana	15	7	1	7	+2	22
9	Cittadella	14	6	3	5	+5	21
10	Brescia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
11	Parma	15	4	7	4	+5	19
12	Perugia	14	4	6	4	+2	18
13	Como	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Ascoli	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Cosenza	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Alessandria	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Spal	14	3	6	5	+2	15
18	Crotone	14	2	7	5	-4	13
19	Vicenza	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Pordenone	14	1	4	9	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	15	9	4	2	+11	31
2	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
3	Ascoli	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Pisa	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Cremonese	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Benevento	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Lecce	14	5	7	2	+4	22
8	Cittadella	15	5	7	3	-1	22
9	Frosinone	14	5	6	3	+3	21
10	Monza	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Como	14	4	6	4	-5	18
12	Parma	14	3	7	4	-2	16
13	Reggina	14	4	4	6	-8	16
14	Spal	14	4	4	6	-10	16
15	Ternana	14	3	6	5	-6	15
16	Alessandria	14	2	3	9	-9	9
17	Vicenza	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Cosenza	15	0	6	9	-18	6
19	Pordenone	14	1	2	11	-20	5
20	Crotone	14	0	3	11	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.