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Serie B

Referee: D Paterna

Cagliari

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Spal

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

38%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cagliari 8. · Spal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	21	14	3	4	+20	45
2	Reggina	21	12	3	6	+14	39
3	Genoa	21	11	6	4	+9	39
4	Bari	21	8	9	4	+14	33
5	Sudtirol	21	8	8	5	-1	32
6	Pisa	21	7	9	5	+9	30
7	Parma	21	8	6	7	+3	30
8	Cagliari	21	7	8	6	+2	29
9	Ternana	21	8	5	8	-4	29
10	Modena	21	8	4	9	+1	28
11	Palermo	21	7	7	7	-2	28
12	Ascoli	21	6	8	7	+0	26
13	Brescia	21	6	7	8	-9	25
14	Spal	21	5	9	7	-1	24
15	Benevento	21	5	8	8	-4	23
16	Como	21	5	8	8	-7	23
17	Cittadella	21	5	8	8	-10	23
18	Venezia	21	5	5	11	-7	20
19	Perugia	21	5	5	11	-10	20
20	Cosenza	21	4	6	11	-17	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+4	21
3	Reggina	11	6	2	3	+10	20
4	Parma	11	6	1	4	+5	19
5	Palermo	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Ternana	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+8	17
8	Genoa	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Como	11	4	4	3	+1	16
10	Brescia	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	Modena	10	4	3	3	+5	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+0	15
13	Bari	10	3	5	2	+8	14
14	Spal	11	3	3	5	+1	12
15	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Perugia	10	3	3	4	-4	12
17	Cittadella	10	2	5	3	-5	11
18	Ascoli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
19	Benevento	11	2	3	6	-6	9
20	Venezia	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	11	7	1	3	+5	22
2	Frosinone	11	6	1	4	+6	19
3	Bari	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Reggina	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Sudtirol	10	5	2	3	-1	17
6	Ascoli	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Benevento	10	3	5	2	+2	14
8	Pisa	11	2	7	2	+1	13
9	Modena	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Venezia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Spal	10	2	6	2	-2	12
12	Cittadella	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Parma	10	2	5	3	-2	11
14	Ternana	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Palermo	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Brescia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
17	Cagliari	10	1	5	4	-2	8
18	Perugia	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Como	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.