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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Stal Mielec

T U T S U

0–0

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 49%

47%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

44%

Both score Ø 40%

35%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 7. · Lech Poznan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	17	13	2	2	+23	41
2	Legia	17	9	5	3	+5	32
3	Widzew Lodz	17	9	2	6	+5	29
4	Pogon Szczecin	17	8	5	4	+4	29
5	Wisla Plock	17	8	4	5	+5	28
6	Lech Poznan	16	8	4	4	+5	28
7	Stal Mielec	17	8	3	6	+3	27
8	Cracovia	17	7	4	6	+6	25
9	Warta Poznan	17	7	4	6	+2	25
10	Radomiak Radom	18	7	3	8	-2	24
11	Slask Wroclaw	17	5	6	6	-5	21
12	Gornik Zabrze	17	5	5	7	-2	20
13	Jagiellonia	17	4	6	7	-1	18
14	Lechia Gdansk	17	5	2	10	-12	17
15	Zaglebie	17	4	5	8	-14	17
16	Piast Gliwice	17	4	4	9	-4	16
17	Legnica	17	3	4	10	-9	13
18	Korona Kielce	17	3	4	10	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Legia	8	6	2	0	+8	20
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Cracovia	9	4	2	3	+5	14
7	Jagiellonia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
8	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Lech Poznan	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Radomiak Radom	9	3	1	5	-2	10
12	Legnica	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Gornik Zabrze	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-7	8
15	Piast Gliwice	8	2	1	5	-1	7
16	Zaglebie	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Warta Poznan	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Korona Kielce	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Rakow	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Widzew Lodz	9	5	1	3	+2	16
4	Lech Poznan	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Stal Mielec	9	4	1	4	-2	13
8	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Legia	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Zaglebie	8	3	1	4	-8	10
12	Piast Gliwice	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Wisla Plock	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	0	6	-5	9
15	Korona Kielce	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Slask Wroclaw	8	2	2	4	-5	8
17	Jagiellonia	8	0	5	3	-4	5
18	Legnica	8	1	1	6	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.