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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Cittadella
T U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Cremonese
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Cremonese 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Catanzaro 10 6 3 1 +5 21
3 Palermo 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Venezia 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Modena 10 4 4 2 +1 16
6 Cosenza 10 4 2 4 +3 14
7 Como 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Sudtirol 9 3 4 2 +3 13
9 Brescia 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Cremonese 10 3 4 3 +1 13
11 Cittadella 10 3 4 3 -3 13
12 Ascoli 10 3 3 4 +0 12
13 Pisa 10 3 3 4 -1 12
14 Bari 10 1 8 1 +0 11
15 Reggiana 10 2 5 3 -4 11
16 Sampdoria 10 2 3 5 -3 9
17 Spezia 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Ternana 10 1 3 6 -4 6
19 FeralpiSalo 10 1 2 7 -14 5
20 Lecco 8 1 1 6 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Cremonese
F. Giraudo 🔁
↦ A. Salvi
24′
25′
🟨 Valentin Antov
Andrea Magrassi 🟨
32′
Lorenzo Carissoni 🟨
38′
Federico Giraudo 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 L. Sernicola
↦ P. Ghiglione
59′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ D. Okereke
A. Danzi 🔁
↦ S. Branca
61′
T. Maistrello 🔁
↦ A. Magrassi
61′
73′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ M. Coda
V. Mastrantonio 🔁
↦ F. Amatucci
76′
G. Carriero 🔁
↦ C. Cassano
76′
Matteo Angeli 🟨
79′
79′
⚽ L. Ravanelli 0–1
1–1 A. Vita ⚽
F. Giraudo
82′
85′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ C. Buonaiuto
85′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Zanimacchia
93′
⚽ F. Vázquez 1–2
G. Quagliata
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
4 M. Angeli D
24 L. Carissoni D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
8 F. Amatucci M
10 C. Cassano M
9 A. Magrassi F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
98 F. Giraudo
27 A. Danzi
32 T. Maistrello
5 V. Mastrantonio
20 G. Carriero
30 S. Negro
77 L. Maniero
15 D. Frare
21 N. Saggionetto
17 E. Kornvig
28 A. Rizza
7 L. Pandolfi

Coach: E. Gorini

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 M. Sarr G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
18 P. Ghiglione M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (12)
17 L. Sernicola
20 F. Vázquez
74 F. Tsadjout
8 M. Collocolo
33 G. Quagliata
44 L. Lochoshvili
22 A. Jungdal
32 G. Abrego
9 D. Ciofani
91 A. Bertolacci
13 A. Tuia
14 L. Valzania

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,19
U
3,25
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.