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Serie B
Referee: J Sacchi
Pisa
U S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Cittadella
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
25%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
1,6
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 13. · Cittadella 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Palermo 8 6 1 1 +10 19
3 Venezia 9 5 3 1 +6 18
4 Catanzaro 9 5 3 1 +2 18
5 Cosenza 9 4 2 3 +5 14
6 Como 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Cremonese 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Cittadella 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Modena 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Brescia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
11 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 +2 10
12 Bari 9 1 7 1 +0 10
13 Pisa 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Ascoli 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Reggiana 9 1 5 3 -5 8
16 Ternana 9 1 3 5 -3 6
17 Sampdoria 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Spezia 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 FeralpiSalo 9 1 2 6 -11 5
20 Lecco 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Cittadella
1–0 G. Piccinini
L. Tramoni
16′
19′
🟨 Federico Giraudo
M. Leverbe 🔁
↦ A. Caracciolo
19′
28′
🟨 Filippo Pittarello
29′
🔁 A. Danzi
↦ S. Branca
Marius Marin 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Matteo Angeli
46′
🔁 A. Magrassi
↦ T. Maistrello
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
61′
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ M. Marin
62′
Á. Nagy 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
62′
Miguel Veloso 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 L. Pandolfi
↦ C. Cassano
68′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ G. Carriero
2–0 Tomás Esteves
E. Torregrossa
70′
83′
🔁 S. Negro
↦ M. Angeli
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
86′
Maxime Leverbe 🟨
92′
94′
A. Magrassi 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
1 Nícolas G
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
20 P. Beruatto D
7 L. Tramoni M
44 Miguel Veloso M
8 M. Marin M
19 Tomás Esteves M
36 G. Piccinini F
27 M. Valoti F
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
3 M. Leverbe
33 A. Calabresi
23 E. Vignato
16 Á. Nagy
42 T. Barbieri
32 S. Moreo
22 L. Loria
6 H. Hermannsson
17 J. Mlakar
26 G. Masucci
51 A. Barberis
28 A. Arena

Coach: A. Aquilani

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
77 L. Maniero G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
4 M. Angeli D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
20 G. Carriero M
10 C. Cassano M
32 T. Maistrello F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (11)
27 A. Danzi
9 A. Magrassi
7 L. Pandolfi
5 V. Mastrantonio
30 S. Negro
8 F. Amatucci
17 E. Kornvig
74 A. Sanogo
36 E. Kastrati
28 A. Rizza
21 N. Saggionetto

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,10
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.